Bad news from pension country and therefore also for pensioners in Thailand. Pensioners should fear that their pension will be cut next year. Workers and companies also have to pay more for less pension, says Marcel Lever of the Central Planning Bureau in De Telegraaf on Saturday.

Earlier calculations by De Nederlandsche Bank showed this picture, but according to Lever of the CPB this is now outdated. Until recently, the expectation was that 25 funds would have to implement a reduction of an average of three percent over five years.

However, this did not include the poor quarterly results of the five largest pension funds. “Based on the current deterioration, more funds will likely have to make a bigger discount,” says Lever.

Editors: So it doesn't look good for our pension in the near future. Are you concerned about that? Leave a comment. 

20 responses to “Are you worried about reductions in your pension?”

  1. Michel says up

    I haven't worried about my pension for a while now.
    I assume that by the time I reach the NL retirement age there will be no pension at all, or you will have to get so old that hardly anyone will make it anymore.
    That is why I have drawn up a savings plan myself, in which I invest less than for pension and state pension, but keep more of it. I will stop working at 55, and then I will have enough to live on until I die.
    If at any time something is added from the NL government and the pension funds, that will only be taken into account.
    I am now 44, and have been saving into my own retirement savings plan for 20 years. I put 3.5% of my income into it, and have now saved more than 5x as much as what mijnpensioen.nl says it says of 24 years of savings with the Dutch pension funds.
    For those who don't, it will get worse and worse. They should certainly start to worry about their pension.
    Thanks to the NLse roverheid, which prefers to throw away the money with left-wing hobbies such as the EU and fortune hunters.

    • B. Harmsen says up

      Have never seen a pension statement that shows what I have saved in 24 years, but what I have accrued and what I will receive in pension for life and there is no one who knows how old he / she will be and how old he / she will eventually be paid out in full.

      When one gets very old, this will be considerably more than one has ever paid/saved.

      If you close your eyes early, you are out of luck, but the possible widow will still benefit from it.

      greetings ben

    • Fedor says up

      Funny, I'm also 44 and have had my own savings plan for a long time, and the same idea that if I ever reach retirement age, I'll see what I might get. Everything is then taken. From the age of 50 I want to quit my job and then spend the winter in Thailand, if I am in the Netherlands in the summer I can always earn some extra money.
      The government changes the rules so often that you cannot assume that you will have a certain income or purchasing power at a certain time. That is why I live quite soberly and determine my own pension and retirement age.

  2. Ruud says up

    The outlook is indeed not rosy. a
    Only we can worry about that, but then you're only driving yourself crazy. We can only hope that the Euro will become worth a little more.

  3. Cees 1 says up

    Yes for those who have enough and, as always, think you shouldn't complain. Won't be a problem.
    But they forget that it is not the fault of the people who left for Thailand, for example. Cuts are made everywhere. And it gets much worse. Because all those “refugees” must also have money. So we can bring that up again.

  4. Nature of Vineyards says up

    Subject: development of pension in the future:

    After a wonderful marriage of more than 8 years, my special Thai wife of 48 died from the consequences of a criminal chemotherapy on April 13, 2013 in the NCI hospital in Bangkok. Although she wanted to leave 50% of her property to me, family prevented much of her will and even threatened the undersigned. Who finally decided to move to the Philippines, which was also not a happy choice, because even at the airport of Bangkok, I was forced by the Philippines Airlines to buy a document for 13.000 Baht. There is much more to tell about it, but now the future of the state pension in the Philippines. How will the state pension there develop in the coming years? Currently I pay for another 7 years or so for a condo, which is then owned. Are changes expected there?

    Nature of Vineyards
    Cebu, Philippines

  5. Rembrandt van Duijvenbode says up

    Yes, I am very concerned about my future pension benefits and let me explain how the funding ratios are calculated using a simple example: Imagine the pension fund as a shop. The assets (premises, stocks, delivery van, etc.) are on the debit side of the balance sheet and the liabilities (creditors, loans) are on the credit side. At the pension fund, the assets are real estate, the securities portfolio and the bank account, and the credit side shows how much has to be paid out to (future) pensioners.

    To see whether the store can continue to exist, we look at how much we convert per period and how much we have to pay for purchases and costs. We use this to calculate the Break Even Turnover and if it is higher than 100% then we are in the right place. To calculate the nominal (= without indexation) coverage ratio, the pension fund calculates the present value of the obligations. Suppose the pension fund has one participant who receives € 1000 every year and, based on the mortality table, has an average of five years to live and applies an actuarial interest rate of, for example, 2% prescribed by the Dutch Bank. Then the obligation is 1000 + 1000*(100%-2%) +1000*(100%-2%)^2+1000*(100%-2%)^3+1000*(100%-2%) ^4 = 1000 + 980 + 960 + 941+ 922 = € 4.803. The pension fund now divides this amount based on the market value of its assets. Whether the pension fund earns 5% or 10% on its assets does not matter. In my example from the store, we looked at how much future income there is, but this is completely omitted when calculating funding ratios, despite the fact that pension funds have made returns of above five percent over the years. Broadly speaking: the lower the actuarial interest rate prescribed by the government, the higher the obligations and the lower the coverage ratio.

    On top of this absurd, non-economic calculation method, the State Secretary Klijnsma has also introduced a buffer requirement of 130% to guarantee the solvency of the pension funds. This buffer of dead capital was never there and it can now be built up nicely now that I have retired. Oh, then there will also be a buffer for pension funds in other countries and then it is good that the Netherlands also has that. You already understand: nowhere abroad does such a buffer requirement exist and there are usually national guarantee funds.

    If I am realistic and look at the current funding ratios of pension funds of around 100%, then I see pensions only falling in the future.

    Rembrandt van Duijvenbode

  6. Leo Th. says up

    Discounts due to a poor quarterly investment result are difficult to place, it is a matter of calculating them. A bad quarter is offset by a good quarter or six months in a preceding or subsequent period. I have also never experienced an extra increase in pension due to an exceptionally good quarterly result. Discounts are the result of political decisions, such as establishing rules with regard to the actuarial interest rate to be used instead of starting from the actual value of a pension fund. Or by “stealing” money from a pension fund, as has happened repeatedly in the past, e.g. from the pension fund of the port workers in Rotterdam and from ABP. Now it is ABP's turn again, to partially finance the salary increase of the civil servants, the premiums are being increased and the benefits are being reduced. Michel thinks he is sitting on roses by saving for his pension himself, extremely sensible, but no one can guarantee him that the government will not want to take a larger part of that in due course. Ultimately, politicians decide that healthcare costs outside Europe will no longer be reimbursed is an example of this. Ruud is right about driving yourself crazy. Nevertheless, pensioners should make more of a fist towards politics, after all, we are worth a good number of parliamentary seats!

  7. Ton says up

    Not yet a pensioner, but already receive a regular annual letter from the pension fund stating that there will be a reduction: already about 10% in total. And that before I even received a penny.
    Apparently pension funds have to speculate with our money to get enough returns; It's easy to gamble with other people's money. In addition, there are of course the generous salaries at the top and beautiful offices; it may cost a bit. Seen a few episodes on TV how NL pension funds work with large "reliable" (read: super shadowy) investment companies in the USA; it should be banned by the state in my opinion. I shudder.
    At another pension fund I left during the ride because of the commission for the intermediary and the high hidden costs; only the employer's part was therefore paid in.
    Just like Michel, I therefore started building my own piggy bank years ago: making maximum use of the tax-free deductible annual margin every year (even more if there is a demonstrable pension shortfall), and depositing that as an additional deposit in an already current single-premium policy. In which I myself am in charge of the investment scenario to be followed: shares, bonds, real estate, cash. This is often done by means of standard mixed funds. Because I invested every year, I automatically spread the price risk. As I get closer to the retirement horizon, investing more and more defensively.
    I have 2 policies: a policy that has been running for years at a guaranteed interest rate (was still pleasant at the time).
    The other policy on a mixed fund basis. The good thing is that the “dull” interest-bearing policy has achieved a higher return at the end than that of the higher-risk mixed funds.
    My idea: get rid of those expensive and quite unreliable pension funds, all the more so because the (r) government sometimes also takes a hold on the cash (ABP); and give people the choice to (compulsory) save for their old age instead of with a pension fund.
    However, this will be difficult in practice in the current system, in which the young save for the elderly.

    • Leo Th. says up

      A pension fund can come across as unreliable because it constantly has to comply with changing government regulations. The government that will soon (unexpectedly) also be able to decide that the benefits from your private pension pots will be taxed more heavily. And why it is always suggested that the young save for the pension of the elderly is totally incorrect. For more than 40 years, the employee's share of the pension premium has been deducted from my salary and paid into the pension pot. My various employers, both government and private, have also paid their employer's share into the pot during these more than 40 years. The amount of the share was established through collective bargaining and is in fact arrears of wages. Wage that I am now entitled to in the form of a pension benefit, but which retains less and less value due to political decisions. You form (very sensibly) an extra private pot and although you determine the investment risk yourself, you do not think that the fund in which you invest will not allocate a substantial profit to itself? Just think of the drama of all the (still ongoing) usury policies.

    • Mr.Bojangles says up

      If they are not allowed to speculate on your money, how can you expect them to ever make money…?
      And this is the 1st time in living memory that interest rates are this low. Until the fall, they have always done well. And despite the already 13 years ! falling stock market, I think they're still doing pretty well.
      And that they were 'shady' investment companies is hindsight.

      And next spring that stock market will collapse again. So it gets worse. And no, I'm not worried about that, because I've known this for years.

      I do agree with your comment about the robbery that regularly robs the greenhouse. Just now with the new civil servants CAO. Hopefully the FNV wins that.

      And again disagree with the fact that the young save for the old. this is not true, I get a pension based on what I saved. Not a penny from anyone else.

  8. Jacques says up

    Only the wealthy will not worry much about their pension. They have provided themselves with the necessary skills in all kinds of ways. The vast majority of Dutch people should rightly be concerned. Governments act according to their convenience and have not been reliable for years. When I left the Netherlands at the end of 2014, I destroyed wonderful promises from the ABP pension fund to clear up the necessary paperwork. Had zero and no value whatsoever. Since 1972, I had been promised 82% of the final salary and ultimately it became 70% of the average salary. For enthusiasts, calculate the difference, it is a significant amount. The end is not yet in sight due to the EU troubles. Many EU countries have arranged things even worse and that also has an impact, just like our deduction costs for those who had bought a home. The conditions for buying houses are becoming similar to those in Germany. Without your own money, you will soon no longer have a home. Very nice for people with money and for the thrifty. The rest is left behind. What surprises me is the resignation of many Dutch people. Good old-age provision is still possible, but many lack the motivation to make this happen. The youth are made to believe that everything is no longer affordable, but it remains a priority choice for politicians that must be made. The personalization of society, in which the individual takes precedence over the collective, is at issue. No or insufficient defense is given with decisions such as, among other things, now taking place again with pensions. Striking, standing up for each other, solidarity, these are words that we can almost delete from the Dikke van Dalen. We are left with the frustrated complainers and the docile group that apparently tolerates everything. Where has gone the days of the dock workers from the 60s and 70s, who went on strike for months for a just society, so that the bottom layer could also live a reasonable life. As a child I ate dry bread and potato soup for weeks, but I was willing to do it and supported my father 100%. All those improvements that were achieved at the time have been destroyed in recent decades. Ra ra who brought this about. The wrong politicians are still being elected and I continue to be amazed by this. I have a gloomy outlook for the future. By raising the state pension age, we can meet the 3% margin that the EU government imposes on us. It is and remains bullying as old as time. The pension is too low on the priority list of current politicians, who do have the prospect of a good old age scheme themselves. Looking at the whole picture, the position of the elderly and pensions will only worsen and that is not good for many of us. Ps I just saw on TV a solution for our financial affairs, investing en masse. Success with it.

    • Renee Martin says up

      Completely agree with your reaction and for enthusiasts read Thomas Piketty's book, it also contains a reason why the current generation and the coming pensioners receive less than they had counted on.

  9. Roberto says up

    Just take a look at this. Will you become a lot wiser about the dirty pension game. With the government in the leading role. https://www.facebook.com/events/602964356503789/748227765310780/

  10. thailand goer says up

    When graduating in the mid-80s (high unemployment), retirement was a far cry from our bed.
    Nevertheless, we were already pointed out urgently that we will have to take care of our pension ourselves because by the time we are ready it would probably be “used”.
    It is therefore no great surprise to me that pensions are eroding.
    Fortunately, I never forgot the warning and took my measures along the way.
    It is a pity that these kinds of warnings never get much attention and only get through when it is "too late".
    In fact, just as the changes in healthcare have been known for years, but now that they are becoming visible, they are causing outrage.
    Life is like governing, but looking ahead a little bit so as not to surprise you as much as possible.

    • Jacques says up

      Dear Thailand Traveler,
      I am happy for you that you are doing well and that you are one of the few who anticipated the announced disaster reports. I have been working on my pension since the early 70s and have always contributed enough to receive a reasonable old-age provision. I was never pointed out that the pension money could run out. The ABP was always very positive towards me. Only after the monetary slump has the situation changed completely. There is still a terribly large amount of money in cash and despite everything, the ABP management is not doing too badly. The problem lies in the banking mentality, they have lost a lot of money in their grandiosity, so they had to be rescued with our money. The government has no money without us taxpayers. A good old age provision is still possible, it is a matter of different priorities. This government is not for the elderly. You won't score with that in the EU area and in Brussels. Constantly imposing higher requirements on pension funds is frustrating and completely unnecessary. The priority must be for the Dutch and much less influence from Brussels. We are sailing on a sinking ship and will go down with it if this continues. As far as I am concerned, it is the government's turn and it must ensure that pensions are maintained at a good level, because there are more and more elderly people who depend on them. The easiest solutions have already been devised and they are to work longer and less, less, less. My motto for this government is: think of something different and take care of the older Dutch people and give them a good old age, because that is certainly what they deserve and stop disrespecting them and do what you are appointed to do and are generously rewarded for.

  11. Cees1 says up

    I don't know if anyone has seen the Zwatre Zwanen report. In it, the managers of the large pension funds are welcomed by the big grabs on Wall Street. Who do have very lucrative plans with our retirement money. According to people on the stock market, that means that a lot of our money goes to the major international banks. And those seasoned bankers know what to do with our billions. They will come up with something that will make the money disappear. Those administrators have no idea where they are collapsing

  12. ruud says up

    As long as the insurance company doesn't go bankrupt, I'm not worried.
    They are not subject to the reductions of the pension funds.
    In addition, the costs are higher and the build-up is lower.
    All in all, I would have been better off with the amount in a savings account.

    The only thing that worries me is whether I will ever find out whether my benefit will be taxed in the Netherlands or Thailand.
    Normally in Thailand, but there is still a story (almost) running through it from a court ruling that stated that the payment was at the expense of the insurer's profit and therefore had to be taxed in the Netherlands.
    I don't know if anyone has already figured this out or has experience with it.

  13. marcel says up

    I think that the pension system in the Netherlands resembles a Ponzi scheme. Your deposit is used to pay other people and by the time it's your turn, you just have to hope that there's something for you too. Hope indeed because there is no guarantee because whatever they promise today they can just adjust the rules later and there you are…..

  14. Ton says up

    For learning and entertainment.
    Received this appropriate email yesterday.

    quote:
    PME's so-called policy funding ratio fell from 101,1% to 99,0% in the third quarter. The main cause of the fall in the funding ratio is the adjustment of the actuarial interest rate for pension funds. As a result, pension obligations increase. In addition, returns on shares have fallen. As a result, the chance of a reduction in pensions will increase in the coming years. No indexation is expected for the first ten years.
    end quote.

    That doesn't bode well. Certainly, if inflation rears its ugly head, then there is a pure loss of purchasing power every year.


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