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Home » News from Thailand » Bank of Thailand agrees that the baht is too expensive
Bank of Thailand agrees that the baht is too expensive
Posted in News from Thailand
Tags: fortune, Bank of Thailand, exchange rate increase baht
The governor of the Bank of Thailand (BoT), Veerathai Santiprabhob, admits that the baht has become too expensive and that the speed of its appreciation is remarkable. Still, the central bank's top boss thinks interest rate cuts alone will not weaken the baht.
Veerathai continues: “It is difficult to predict whether the baht will weaken or strengthen. It could go either way due to geopolitical risks. The currency can make a drastic turnaround when external conditions change.”
But more likely, he says, is that the baht will become less stable and more volatile in the future: “The private sector must be able to manage the risks arising from the future unpredictable exchange rates”.
The Bank of Thailand is also considering easing exchange rate and international reserve rules to give it more options to rein in the expensive baht, as policy rates cannot be lowered further.
Source: Bangkok Post
Aha people have finally woken up at the highest level!
Now to wake up politicians to actually do something about it!
This will not only benefit the expats, but also the Thai population itself! The price of rice has already fallen considerably. Not difficult that one cannot sell the rice stock abroad due to the high international price! Too much rice is……. cheaper purchase prices…. less income for the population. That's how the economy works.
Hopefully this man has the necessary persuasive power to convince the politicians or other “powers” that things cannot go on like this. It's not 5 to 12, but unfortunately already 20 past 12!!!!!!! How is it possible that they didn't act sooner!
I blame it on greed and that oh so important 'loss of face'!!!!
See if anything will change in the first few weeks! I'm afraid not because as always it's a lot of blah blah blah!!!!
My family only grows rice for their own use. It doesn't pay to grow for sale.
FINALLY! Thailand has been throwing its own windows in for a while With all kinds of harassment towards the white farrang…
Can't understand why those white farang still live there. Despite the indeed strong baht and the very weak euro. Euro is also very weak compared to other currencies, just look at the euro/dollar ratio.
well, that's actually easy to explain:
1. most expats are relatively wealthy; a minority (the elderly, those aged 75+) have to make do with state pension, possibly supplemented with a small pension. The new expats are the baby boomers with a good pension and/or assets (usually their own house). They don't care about the course;
2. more and more expats are married to a Thai woman who has a reasonable to good income (civil servants, teachers, managers: 40 to 100 thousand Baht per month, no exception) and not to women from poor families; in many cases they do not have to care for family or they can do so relatively easily;
3. some expats work here and get their salary in Bahts. Yes, you will receive less state pension when you retire, but you can extend your health insurance for roughly 800 baht per month until you die.
If you don't get that, really unbelievable! What did you think that the foreigner has no family, wife and children?
Ls,
Exchange rates are very complex and depend on many factors. One of those factors is the global trade in different currencies that go around the world every day and over which you as a country have little influence.
This amounts to staggering amounts.
There is always an advantage and disadvantage to an 'expensive currency.' It is clear that it is now a disadvantage for tourism.
Gr Rob
No, dear Rob, it has already been mentioned several times in various topics on this blog, because as the baht becomes more expensive, more and more tourists are coming in. So you can draw the conclusion that a more expensive baht will bring in more tourists, both numbers of tourists and revenues from tourism. Because this is one of the causes, if not the main cause, of the increase in the value of the baht because there is more demand for baht because foreigners spend it in Thailand in exchange for their own currency. I dare say that if there are fewer tourists, the baht will automatically drop in value, but given the increase in tourism, I estimate that the baht will soon be 30 baht for a euro.
The expats leave the country
The tourists book vietnam and cambodia
I wonder what the high season will bring
I estimate a million more foreign tourists than a year ago. An increase every year so why should this be any different now? Quite recently on this blog I also indicated that the 2 airports of Bangkok will be expanded with a third because things are going well and the current ones are overloaded and both are being expanded.
No friend Ger-Korat, the airports of Ha Noi Vietnam are overloaded with Western tourists, just like the three international airports of Cambodia. Since the coup d'état in 2014, things have been going downhill in Thailand in all areas. And once again I really feel sorry for the ordinary Thai, not all of them have a farrang in the family who can help them out
According to Ger-Korat and TAT there are 39 million tourists in Thailand this year, if you read the Thai forums people from Phuket to Chiang Rai are complaining that it is a disaster year for tourism. Everything, except for a few Chinese, is dead.
But yes, according to TAT, the entire world population will come to Thailand at least 2024 times a year by 3 and they will spend at least 5000 baht and 14 satang per person and per day.
Suppose I had taken a retirement visa 15 years ago instead of a married visa, then I could now return home with my 1800 euro pension without mercy or, like many expats, join the exodus to Vietnam, Cambodia or the Philippines. mention that since 2014, the boss of CP has seen his profit rise from $9 billion to $17 billion.
Should there still be sand???????. I really don't see a bright future for the Thai people. the same color as many bloggers have their glasses !!!!!
A strong baht is only unfavorable for export or tourism. It should not matter to the domestic economy and import products should certainly be cheaper.
At Foodland Daelmans stroopwafels 290 grams (10 pieces) 129 baht. A Thai version goes per piece and 30 grams (1 piece) 18 baht. Import is therefore 40% cheaper.
Obviously much more expensive than in the Netherlands, but you also have the same problem with Thai food in Dutch shops.
Would one be able to complete all the initiated infrastructure projects and railways with a low baht? Of course, we always look at what we get for our euro.
For the Thai, a baht will be a baht.
Naturally. Think for yourself that tourism in the five-star hotel is still going well. Even when I visit the shows and see the groups arrive at the airport. But yes, they are not tourists who go to bars and Gogos and in the smaller hotel and guesthouse.
For the Thai, the baht is no longer a baht.
Look and listen around you and marvel!
Again some comments that completely miss the mark.
The Thai government & central bank have known for months that the baht is too high and that this has a negative effect on tourism & exports.
Thailand – as a small country – can do very little about this, because the currency depends on external factors. So says the head of the central bank. Politicians have absolutely no input in determining the currency rates. That function lies with the central bank, which fortunately can still make independent decisions.
Everyone just talks.
But what is the real reason that the Thai bath is so expensive.
It is certainly not the false political stability that is present at the moment.
It is not that many wealthy foreigners and companies park their money with Thai financial institutions or invest here.
It is not that Thailand is a country with ideas and higher technological developments, including by companies that will be able to change the world in any way.
It is not that almost everyone wants to go on holiday to Thailand.
But what is it, maybe something to do with the HISO now buying expensive yachts and houses in London or Nice or purchasing defense equipment from abroad.
The only thing I can see in my immediate surroundings is that people here are finding it increasingly difficult to survive or rather to make ends meet.
So we have to wait until the pitcher is filled with water until it bursts.
Jan Beute.
Funny man that Veerathai, has as little insight as most other Thais. If you're talking about unpredictable exchange rates and that business should manage this, that's putting the ball in someone else's court. And he talks about "fickle" and it can also "go either way", mwaaaah I think, do they not have a policy at the Central Bank? Fire that man and things can only get better I think.
From my perspective, I am happy with a higher value of the THB compared to other currencies. I live and work in Thailand for a Thai company and receive my salary in Thai baht. It is also beneficial for my own company because I import from abroad. I always read a lot of complaints from retirees and tourists, but a coin always has 2 sides. Let them first look at their own currency. When the crisis started here in the late 2008s, many Asian governments wanted to turn on the 'money printing press', but were emphatically warned by the IMF, America and Europe not to do so. They did not do this then and after a few years they were back to their level. When the banking crisis started in 1 (which Asia was not much affected by), the first thing they did in the West was turn on the 'money printing presses' with QE 2, 3, 4 and now the repo activities, which is a disguised QE93, but people call it don't want to call it that. Looking at the dollar, it is worth 1913% less than in 100 (establishment of the FED). The same applies to the Euro where the European bank creates gigantic amounts of euros. America has a budget that is over XNUMX% of GDP and the highest debt of all time and so do many European countries. So it is better to say that the euro / dollar is becoming less and less valuable due to their own stupid policy and not that the Baht is becoming more expensive, but many people do not understand this and it is very easy to point to Thailand and the 'expensive' baht. The article refers to the impending crisis (which I think has already started) where all bubbles will burst and most currencies will become even less valuable. All countries have a fiat currency and past experience has shown that it always goes to zero. Most national banks also no longer have any instruments to make adjustments and the interest rates are already almost zero or lower. I would like to give everyone the tip to purchase gold and silver before it is too late and you can no longer do anything with your euros.
Unfortunately, it is not the "golden" tip at the moment! See the gold prices: 20.000 baht and higher for 1 baht gold!
Yes, that makes you silent reading this. So we have to buy gold and silver. You have to have money for it and so it is again corn on the big money. That always works out. It is nice to hear that you as an entrepreneur in Thailand are not affected by it, but I prefer that other groups of people do not have to suffer. Yes, the financial world has it well organized and that's how we mess around. Of course, the hard-working Thai also suffers from this phenomenon. They will also not earn more, because that usually goes into the pocket of the entrepreneur. When purchasing a house or buying land, the Thai are also more expensive and they will also have to dig more into their pockets, which do not have more baht than before. No, that governor has to get to work and quickly.
Dear Dennis,
You forget in your argument about the significant increase in value of the THB compared to. involving the currencies of the surrounding countries (ASEAN) including China and India. This is between +7,9% (Cambodia) and +57,3% (Myanmar) over the past 5 years and is therefore comparable to the increase compared to. the USD (+8,3%) and EUR (+21,1%).
See my 3 responses to https://www.thailandblog.nl/nieuws-uit-thailand/europese-touroperators-klagen-thailand-is-te-duur-geworden/
It is therefore not (only) due to the monetary policy of the US and EU.
I think the big lords are investing a lot of money abroad at the moment, so that they can earn a lot of money later. and get well again, The common man doesn't count.
Bath expensive or not expensive, I just think they should adjust their new visa rules because many expats get into difficulties with their pension from our country. Export costs will also rise seriously. Let's wait and see how this will all turn out within this and 2 years.
The Baht will continue to strengthen simply so that there is no alternative. Thailand is now a fast growing country. For example, the number of registered cars here has doubled in 10 years. That's huge. Furthermore, the Thai is a follower and a very submissive people that you can count on to always accept decisions.
Bangkok now has the honor of becoming the unhealthiest city in the world in terms of air quality. No action has been taken against this and will not be taken. Incredible but very normal in Thailand. The economy and profit are the main drivers, everything else is purely secondary.
Investors are not blind to this.
I assume from your argument that you do not live in Thailand? Because it reads that there is not much good here and then that expensive baht. 1 reasonable sense seen, USD (+8,3%) and EUR (+21,1%). Is the fact that we get so little for our euro then the fault of the Thais?
Well, that's why I'm seeing it with my own eyes. Tourism has more than doubled in the last 10 years .... that is gigantic. Maybe there is a dip now, but negligible. Even the Russians are returning en masse. A tourist knows nothing about currency rates. Most tourists don't know the exchange rate and local currency until they get off the plane.
Every day I see new mastodons of residential blocks being built here…..I don't see that at all anymore in Belgium or the Netherlands.
New roads are also being built en masse … tunnels are dug and viaducts are built. I haven't seen that happen in NL or B for years.
There are major plans to expand the airports and invest in railway lines. That also no longer happens in B or NL.
I even see gas stations along the major roads en masse. In B or NL I see more and more disappearing.
It doesn't surprise me that the engine of the world economy is SE Asia.
I doubt that tourism has increased so much because the TAT mentions this. Russians used to be a plague in Pattaya, but nowadays you have to look for them with a night cheese. Possibly they are in other places, I want to steer clear of that. Quite a lot of black money has been laundered by the Russian criminals who were probably in the majority. As far as houses and road construction are concerned, you have observed that well. The road is certainly being worked on and that is the level of ambition of this government. If you want to present something at an international level, you have to go along with these kinds of excesses. Outward show but the necessity for the population then other measures would be more appropriate.
As far as housing is concerned, I see a lot of construction in Pattaya, but also a lot of vacancy. Even complexes that will never be finished. Sales are not going well and nevertheless you see that the prices go up every year. I fail to see the logic for this.
Strong growing? Thailand is not growing noticeably more than, for example, the Netherlands. Thailand's neighboring countries are doing much better. I have already provided some links to some figures in previous responses. See eg https://www.thailandblog.nl/economie/de-thaise-economie-hapert/
In a recent blog, TheoB compared the exchange rate of the THB against various Western and Asian currencies. In all cases we see expensive baht. So what is it about? I would rather look within Thailand itself than, for example, Europe.
https://www.thailandblog.nl/nieuws-uit-thailand/europese-touroperators-klagen-thailand-is-te-duur-geworden/
Investors are indeed not blind, they also see these kinds of facts. In contrast to some readers who continue to baselessly praise the Thai economy... Even the Thai ministry admits that things are not going so well, but when people can no longer praise the figures to the heavens, they have now switched to 'don 'don't mention the economy!'.
https://www.thailandblog.nl/nieuws-uit-thailand/europese-touroperators-klagen-thailand-is-te-duur-geworden/
Dear Fred, you almost come across to me as a kind of believer who, averse to constantly presented facts, sees his own truth. That's an achievement...
I lit some candles at the Buddha with the request that the baht be strong against the euro for a few more months. Soon my son will transfer a considerable amount in baht to the Netherlands .... Then I will blow out the candles after which the baht will fall ... for sure.
No country has ever gone bankrupt because of an expensive currency. I see more and more Thai tourists abroad because it is just as expensive here. Isn't the expensive currency the result of things going very well there?
An expensive coin is a sign of a strong economy, I think Fred mentioned this recently. Well, think of the Netherlands in the golden period in the 90s, Germany in the same period, Switzerland, Singapore... So a strong currency is a sign that things are going well because when does the currency increase in value? If there is a demand for it because products (exports) or services (such as tourism in Thailand) are purchased/paid for or investments are made in the country from abroad.