Ƙungiyar Tattalin Arziƙi ta Asean, wanda ya kamata ya fara aiki a ranar 31 ga Disamba, 2015, ya yi nisa fiye da kowane lokaci. Wannan mafarkin ya ci karo da mummunan gaskiyar. Tambayar ita ce: yaya da gaske kasashen da ke taka rawa suke wajen cimma manufa guda, in ji Nithi Kaveevivitchai a cikin shirin. Mayar da hankali na Asiya abin da aka makala na Bangkok Post.
Masana tattalin arziki da masana da jami'an diflomasiyya da dama sun shafe shekaru suna shakkun ko irin wannan rukuni na kasashe goma na shirin kafa wata kungiyar tattalin arziki.
Bambance-bambance, kamar yadda babban kayan cikin gida (GDP) kowane mutum ya kai dalar Amurka 43.929 a Singapore, ɗaya daga cikin ƙasashe mafi arziki a duniya, da $715 a Myanmar, ɗaya daga cikin ƙasashe mafi talauci. Matsakaicin tsakanin mafi girma da mafi ƙasƙanci GDP shine 1:61 a Asean akan 1:8 a cikin Tarayyar Turai.
Manyan matsalolin da ke kan hanyar zuwa jam’iyyar AEC su ne rashin daidaito tsakanin buri na siyasa, rashin damammaki da kuma rashin ra’ayin siyasa a wasu kasashe mambobin kungiyar, ya nazarci wani rahoto da cibiyar bincike ta CIMB Asean Research Institute (CARI) ta fitar.
Jörn Dosch, babban mawallafin rahoton CARI ya ce: "Mahimmancin siyasa game da cinikayya tsakanin yankuna bai dace da gaskiyar tattalin arziki ba." Idan muka kalli aikin na yanzu, yana da ban mamaki cewa tun 2003 kasuwancin cikin-Asean bai ƙaru ba kuma tun 1998 da kashi 4,4 kawai. Ya kasance makale da kusan kashi 25 cikin ɗari na jimlar adadin ciniki a ASEan.
Mahimmanci, tanadin ciniki cikin 'yanci da ake da shi a Asean ba a cika amfani da shi ba, kuma kashi 46 cikin 99 na kamfanonin da CARI ta bincika sun ce ba su da shirin yin hakan nan gaba. Hakan yana da matukar damuwa saboda kashi XNUMX cikin XNUMX na jigilar kayayyaki tsakanin manyan kasashe shida na Asean ba shi da kudin fito. Haka kuma, gasa tana hana ciniki cikin 'yanci. Yawancin ƙasashe a yankin suna samar da kayayyaki iri ɗaya, don haka ta ma'anar ba su da sha'awar buɗe iyakokin.
Manyan kamfanoni suna sa ido kan Amurka, EU da China
Amma akwai ƙari: kusan kashi 95 zuwa 98 na duk kamfanonin da ke cikin kasuwar Asean ƙanana ne da matsakaitan kamfanoni. Yawancin suna da ƙarancin sha'awa da damar yada fikafikan su fiye da iyakoki. Manyan kamfanoni a yankin, a gefe guda, suna kallon waje. Suna mai da hankali kan yin gogayya da juna don samun damar shiga Amurka, EU da China.
Babu tabo masu haske? Ee, saka hannun jari a cikin yanki ya ƙaru a cikin 'yan shekarun nan. Da alama kasashen yankin Asiya na son zuba jari a kasashen da suke makwabtaka da su.
Ƙarshe na Jörn Dosch: 'Idan aka yi la'akari da halin da ake ciki a yanzu da kuma tsayin daka da ke tsakanin ƙasashe membobin a matakin ƙasa, yana da wuya a iya cimma dukkan burin. AEC 2015 tsari ne, ba batun ƙarshe ba.'
(Source: Asiya Focus, Bangkok Post, Yuli 15, 2013)
Misali na yau da kullun: Surukina dillali yana siya da siyar da siyan duriam kusan 30bth/kg a kan iyakar Thai/Kambodiya da siyarwa a BKK akan 80bth kilogiram (hankalin har yanzu dole ne ku cire sufuri + masauki + yankan da tattarawa) nasa. abokan ciniki / abokai sun riga sun fara gunaguni SABODA tare da tattalin arzikin kasuwa na ASEAN kyauta, farashin zai ragu (mai rahusa na Sinanci / malaise)
Na yi kokarin bayyana masa 1992 12 kasashe eu yanzu 2013 27 kasashe amma kek bai samu wani girma da kuma don haka wanda zai kula da matalauta Singapore kamar mu a cikin EU!