Gadziridza 'simba rebhaht'
Musi waNovember 30, ndakanyora chinyorwa paThailandblog nezve “simba rebhaht". Nekuti zvirikuitika zvirikuitika nekukurumidza kupfuura zvaitarisirwa, pazasi pane pfupiso pfupiso yemaonero angu pakuvandudza mutengo.
Kare, masheya nemari yaive bhizinesi rangu remazuva ese. Izvi hazvirevi kuti uyo akasaina pasi ane monopoly pahuchenjeri, asi anotarisa pamusika nemeso akasiyana.
Kusagadzikana kwezvematongerwo enyika kunoratidzika kunge kuri kwenguva refu, zvichiita kuti vanofungidzira mari uye vanoisa mari vatore mari yavo kubva kuThailand. Mhedzisiro yacho yakawanda kupa pane kudiwa uye mutengo unodonha. Ndaive nebheti diki neshamwari kuti taizoona makumi mana nemashanu Kisimusi isati yasvika, asi nhamo ndingadai ndakataura kudaro. akasangana Kisimusi nekuti pazuva reKisimusi yaive 45,21 manheru.
Ehe, misika yeAustralia, yeEurope neAmerica yakavharwa pazuva iro. Kuderera kwakaderera kunoreva kuti pane mukana wekushanduka kukuru. Pamberi peKisimusi, ndinofunga kupikisa kwaive 44,30 uye kwakaputswa, kungosangana nekupikisa 44,90 muna Zvita 27 uye kuzorora kwaive pa45,56 panguva yekunyora uku.
Ini ndinofunga kuti kufa kwemupurisa uye kuwedzera kwehasha panguva yekuratidzira ndiko kuri kukonzera kupera simba kweThai baht. Handikwanise kubvuma zvakataurwa nevanoongorora kuti zvine chekuita nekubuda kwechirongwa cheAmerican FED, nekuti USA irikungoita izvozvo kupinza chivimbo muhupfumi hwayo, huri kushanda nemazvo. Thailand haina hukama hwehupfumi neUSA uye ini handizive kuti nei vachitsigira iyo baht.
Shamwari yedu huru China inongofunga maererano nekutengeserana kwe "kutengeserana" (zvinhu zvezvinhu) uye chete inoruka shinda pabhaht yakaderera. Mukomana mukuru Japan (mukuru wekudyara mari yekune dzimwe nyika muThailand) anongowana mitengo yakaderera yekugadzira muThailand nekuda kwekuderera uku, saka inongoona zvakanakira kubva kune yakaderera chiyero chekuchinjana.
Pakupedzisira:
Kana kusagadzikana kwezvematongerwo enyika kukaramba kuchienderera uye mutengo wemupunga pamusika wepasi rose ukaramba uchidonha, ini ndinotarisira kuwedzera kuderera kweThai baht mumwedzi iri kuuya.
Inogona kunge isiri pfungwa yakaipa kuchinjana maeuro ako nebaht pamwero weanosvika makumi mashanu, nekuti pane imwe nguva mari ichapinda mumvura yakadzikama uye ichidzikama uye pamwe vatengi vachadzoka vakawanda, pamwe nekuda kwemitengo yakaderera yemasheya pastock. kuchinjana. Thailand (kwete kuzvidza, asi makambani makuru eThai akanyorwa paSingapore stock exchange).
Aya ndiwo maonero angu asingasungiri pamusoro pekuvandudzwa kwemutengo weThai baht uye zvakare ramba wakatarira pachiyero cheeuro/US$ (ikozvino 1,38), nokuti ndinotarisira kumwe kupera simba kweUS$ pamusoro peeuro. Zvinoreva zvakanaka kana zvakaipa maitiro anogamuchirwa, asi ndapota nyatsosimbiswa!
Meer informatie:
- Real-time Thai Baht-Euro mwero: www.xe.com/
currency converter - mitengo yenhoroondo dzeThai Baht-Euro: www.xe.com/
currencycharts
Ruud
Cherechedza: Hatifanirwe kufa nenzara muThailand nekuti hurumende yeThai ichine mamiriyoni akawanda ematani emupunga.
Panguva yedambudziko rakapfuura/mafashamo, nezvimwewo, baht yaichengetwa yakakwira kuburikidza nezvikwereti zvitsva. Iye zvino vanhu havachazvikwanisi. Zvauri kuona izvozvi kukosha chaiko kweThai baht. uye ichadzikira zvishoma munguva pfupi iri kutevera.
Rega ndizviise neimwe nzira: mari yapera.
Anodiwa Hans,
Mumakore ekuma80, vanhu vakaisa mari muzvikamu nekuda kwegoho remugove (kunyanya Kon Olie) uye kuwedzera kwemutengo.
Mumakore ekuma90, vakawanda “vatsva” vanoisa mari mumusika nemhaka yekuwedzera kwemitengo.
Mutengo/muhoro wemari waive wakatopfuura makumi matanhatu (izvi zvinoreva kuti nepurofiti imwe chete iwe waizove nemutengo wemugove kumashure mushure memakore makumi matanhatu uye migove iyi haina kana chikamu chakaderera kwazvo). Paiva kunyange nezvikamu nemutengo / kurasikirwa kwehuwandu (verenga, somuenzaniso, Versatel).
Kubva panguva iyoyo, vanofungidzira (verenga, pakati pevamwe, Leeson) vakatora pamusika uye vanongobatsirwa kubva kune makuru.
kufamba kwemitengo kuitira kuti uwane iyo yepamusoro-soro purofiti kana bhonasi.
Dai wakaisa mari yako muKon Olie makore makumi matatu apfuura, ungadai wakapfuma kwazvo dai wakangochengeta zvikamu. Chikamu chinopa gore negore chikamu chegoho re
anenge 5% pagore uye ndinofungidzira kuti mugove, kusanganisira kupatsanurwa uye kutendeuka kune euros, yakawedzera dzinenge 5 nguva, kana 9x iyo inivhesitimendi kusanganisira yegore govedhi.
Zvino mhinduro kumubvunzo wako ndeyokuti migove yepasirese, mari, zviwanikwa uye zvigadzirwa zviri mumaoko evanofungidzira (verenga, pakati pevamwe, Soros, mabhiriyoni uye maBhangi makuru).
Mukuona kwangu, mutemo wezvino uri kushandiswa kuita kuti baht iwire, asi pane imwe nguva vaongorori nevashambadziri vachadzoka.
Nekudaro, matambudziko emukati muThailand anenge asingaverengeke uye kukakavara kwezvematongerwo enyika hakuna zvakunoitira nyika. Asi iyo inofadza chaizvo kune iyo expat.
Ndakaverenga chikamu chako nekufarira kukuru.
Ichokwadi kuti ndiri mwana mutsva munzvimbo iyoyo. ndichanyura.
Uye ndinoshinga kukubvunzai mubvunzo.
Iwe unoti pane imwe nguva mari inopinda mumvura yakadzikama uye inodzikama
Pamwe vatengi vachadzoka.
Ipapo pfungwa dzangu ndedzekuti mari ichapora uye zvishoma nezvishoma inodzokera kune yayo yekare. Mubvunzo wangu
Muitiro wakadaro ungangofanotaurwa here maererano neurefu hwenguva? Somuenzaniso, ingava nyaya yemwedzi here kana kuti ingatora makore?
Anodiwa Kees,
"Vimba anouya netsoka uye anokwira bhiza"
Ichi chirevo chinozivikanwa uye tave pabhiza.
Musi weChishanu mutengo wakaderera wakanga usingachamisiki.
Akasvika 45,56 uye manheru kutengesa akadzokera ku45,185.
Iwe wakaona kumwe kutenga kwerutsigiro paChishanu chino (ona girafu), asi imwe yemhinduro inorovera mbambo mumaonero angu: "mari yapera" kuti uwane mari yekutenga kukuru kwekutsigira.
Asi munguva yakapfuura, 50 yaiva mutengo wepamusoro uye ndinotarisira kuti panguva iyoyo vaongorori vachatanga kutenga zvakachipa (mumashoko eeuro) zvikamu zveThai uye pachava nekudiwa kweThai baht uye mutengo uchakwira zvishoma nezvishoma.
Zvisinei, kwete zvitunha zvakawandisa (verenga huori nemhosva dzehutsotsi) zvinofanira kubuda muwadhiropu.
Asi munyika inonakidza yezvemari, chero chinhu chinogoneka. Ini handina kuona kunetsa kwemari kuchiuya kuChina muna Zvita 24, asi kunyange maChinese pachavo.
Pakupedzisira:
Kazhinji ndinoona matambudziko pachine mwedzi mitanhatu. Handizivi kuti sei, asi ndinofunga kuti May 2014 unogona kuva mwedzi wakanaka.
Nehurombo, mhedzisiro yapfuura haisi vimbiso yeramangwana, uye zvakare haisi tsanangudzo iyi.
Ongorora: Tarisa uone machati egore re10 uye iwe unogona kuona kuti mari yakawana sei ...
NeQE muUnited States, mari yakawanda yemadhora emari yakaputirwa muhupfumi kwenguva yakareba, iyo yakatsvaga uye yakawana kudzoka kuAsia. Muchidimbu semhedzisiro, iyo Thai nedzimwe mari dzakasimuka ipapo. Iye zvino QE yava kubviswa, chikamu chikuru chemadhora iwayo chiri kudzoka uye mari itsva haisisiri kuuya kuAsia. Nekuda kweizvozvo, mari dzemuAsia dziri kumanikidzwa uye dziri kudzikira mukukosha nekuda kwezviito zvezvematongerwo enyika muUS. QE inomirira quantitative easing.
Asi ini ndinofunga kuti, sezvakataurwa naRuud, kubatwa kweiyo QE mutemo handicho chikonzero chikuru.
Mitengo paSET50 yave kudonha kwechinguva uye bhaht yanga ichidzikawo kwenguva yakati. Zvose zvinofambidzana. Kana mitengo yemasheya ichidonha, mutengesi wekune dzimwe nyika achabvisa mari yake, asi ndizvo zvichaitawo mari. Mushure mezvose, kana mugove wako wakataurwa mubaht uye iyo baht ikadonha, iwe ucharamba uchirasikirwa kunyangwe iyo baht chikamu chikawedzera kukosha. Kuderedza mutemo weQE kwave mumhepo kwenguva yakati, asi kwakaziviswa chete mwedzi uno.
Nenzira, mitengo muUS neEurope yakapfuura nepamusoro pedenga mushure mekunge kuburitswa kweQE kwakaziviswa uye EUR/USD currency pair iriwo padanho rayo repamusoro munguva refu. Saka kune yakawanda mari inoyerera ichienda kuEurope, iyo inobatsira iyo EUR / THB, mune yedu sevanobuda kunze.
Kuratidzira ikoko kunongokurumidzisa mutambo. Zvavanonyanya kuvenga munyika yekudyara hazvina chokwadi. Iwe hausi kunyatsoda kutenga mashares mukambani iri munyika yausingazive kuti hurumende inotevera ichave chii uye kuti ichaita sei.
MuThai parizvino ave kuravira mushonga wake.
Ndiri kupindura zvakananga kumutsara unotaurwa kuti America haingave kana simba kunze kweUS neFED.
NeQE muUS, mari yakawandisa yemadhora emari yakaiswa muhupfumi kwenguva yakareba, iyo yakatsvaga nekuwana kudzoka muAsia uye zvakare mumasheya pasi rese. Muchidimbu semhedzisiro, iyo Thai nedzimwe mari dzakasimuka ipapo. Iye zvino QE yave kubviswa, chikamu chikuru chemadhora iwayo chiri kudzoka uye mari shoma itsva iri kuuya kuAsia. Nekuda kweizvozvo, mari dzemuAsia dziri kumanikidzwa uye dziri kudzikira mukukosha nekuda kwezviito zvezvematongerwo enyika muUS. QE inomirira quantitative easing.
Mari yatove pasi pekumanikidzwa uye handingashamisi kana misika yemasheya pasi rese ichitamburawo neiyo US monetary policy. Zvese zvakaitwa mumari muUS zvine pesvedzero huru pasi rese. Vanhu vanenge vakanganwa kuti nhamo yatiinayo muEU pari zvino nekuchekwa kwacho kuri kukonzerwawo neUS.
Zvimwe nekuda kwedambudziko iri, ndanga ndichishanda kuendesa Euro yangu kuakaundi yeFCD kwemavhiki akati wandei.
Kuchinjana mune iri kuwedzera kushaya simba THB.
Ini ndinoita izvi zvishoma nezvishoma uye ndinotevera mutengo, senge nemigove zuva nezuva.
Nezuro anenge 50 yeEuro.
Munguva yeSongkraan muna Kubvumbi yaive yakapoteredza 36 kusvika 37.
Ino ndiyo nguva yekushandisa mukana uyu.
Sezvinorehwa neshoko rokuti, rufu rwomumwe chingwa chomumwe munhu.
Saka zano rakanaka kana iwe uchikwanisa kuzviita uye uine chiyero cheizvi, uye uchigara zvachose muThailand, vaka matura ako izvozvi.
Jan Beute
Hi Jan,
Hungwaru kushandura capital yako muzvikamu.Uchakurumidza kugamuchira avhareji yereti,
nokuti "hapana runhare runomboitwa pamwero wepamusoro"!
Izvi zvinoreva kuti isu tinokwanisa kuona mushure mekunge nguva yakanakisa yaive.
Zano rakanaka!
Aya ndiwo maonero aRuud, pamwe akarurama, zvichida kwete. Ani naani anogona kuona mune ramangwana anogara ane advantage.Kana Ruud achishandira BANK anogona kunge ari right, or not, because anoda kutirasisa. Zvichienderana nenjere dzako uye usashandise pfungwa yevatatu vanofunga kuti vane hungwaru hwese.
Iniwo ndinotenda kuti mwero weThai baht uri kushandiswa kuuraya vanopikisa vezvematongerwo enyika. Mutengo mumwedzi gumi neshanu yapfuura wanga wakasimba zvisingaite uye dambudziko rakakura kune mamwe mapoka makuru emabhizinesi muThailand. Zvinoita sekuti ivo vari kutonga iko zvino.
Ps Ingoendesa imwe mari kuThailand.
Inonakidza mupiro uyu. Yakanaka kune avo vane maEuro uye vanogona kuitsinhanisa pamwero wakanaka.
Asi zvino, ani nani ane THB, inozvidzivirira sei kubva mukukwira kwemitengo uye kunyanya kubva kune hyperinflation. Hurumende dzakasiyana-siyana dzinodhinda mari, USA, Europe, Japan, nezvimwe.
Ndiani ane zano rekuchengetedza THB muakaundi yekuchengetedza yakagadzikana mukukosha / kubudirira? A savings account kana deposit account inopa mubereko wakaganhurirwa, mwero wemhindu uri pasiwo mukukwira kwemitengo chaiko.
Iwe wakatopa mhinduro iwe pachako, neakaundi yekuchengetedza iwe haugone kuita chero chinhu kuti uzvidzivirire kunze kwekunge bhangi ragadzirisa chikwereti chayo chechikwereti kune hyperinflation.